The Van Buren Boys


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Sunday, February 13, 2005

Closer to Lock than Bubble

I can't say I'm nearly as on top of GU basketball as you guys, but I did see this prediction on ESPN.com recently (citing Syracuse, BU, Pitt, and UConn as locks out of the Big East):

Big East
Work left to do: Villanova, Georgetown, Notre Dame, West Virginia
UConn moves into lock status after victories against Villanova and at Syracuse. Nova and Georgetown are looking really solid right now. Notre Dame got a huge W last night but likely needs more.
Villanova (14-5 (5-4), RPI: 17, SOS: 19) Solid profile that is very close to a lock right now. 'Cuse, BC and Pittsburgh all coming to Nova in the next five games. One win likely is all the Wildcats need.
Georgetown (15-6 (7-3), RPI: 35, SOS: 43) Another team that has moved much closer to lock than off the bubble. Numbers are there. League standing is there. Unexpected season buzz factor is there. Ten Big East wins is very reasonable and that would be more than enough.
Notre Dame (14-6 (6-4), RPI: 40, SOS: 61) Came through UConn/'Cuse/BC gauntlet 2-1, but still has work left to do. Chances abound with Pitt twice and UConn (along with UCLA) still left on slate. If Irish miss Dance, no one to blame but themselves.
West Virginia (13-7 (3-6), RPI: 67, SOS: 72) We'll add the Mountaineers, but WVU needs a lot of work on its profile to get more significant sniff. 0-6 vs. RPI Top 50 not a good foot to put forward.

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